Presidential Polls 2024 Predictions. Based on polls and fundamentals, 538 projects that harris has a 57 percent chance of winning the 2024 presidential election, while trump has a 43 percent chance. Here’s a breakdown of all the 2024 presidential.

A polling average is the best way to understand the state of play in a presidential race, but as we know from previous presidential cycles, the polls aren’t. This measure combines americans’ views on current economic conditions and their view of the economy’s direction to produce an.